The crew discusses how a bipartisan gun control deal was reached and if this unwritten legislation could be passed by the end of the year. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." Just another site fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. The director of the Harvard Study of Adult Development -- the longest study of human life ever conducted -- concluded in a new book that close personal relationships are the "one crucial factor [that] stands out for the consistency and power of its ties to physical health, mental health and longevity." Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Dive in and Share your insights! Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News (US) Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. New rules for the baseball season, Richard Belzer dies and more prison for Harvey Weinstein and R. Kelly | Bonus sports & entertainment episode. The crew speaks with professors Jane Junn and Karthick Ramakrishnan about the context of the Atlanta attacks and how Asian-American political participation has evolved in recent decades. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. A message from Martine. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. Listeners wanted to know what to make of the NYC mayoral race, whether primary races tell us anything about the midterm elections, what voting system is the best, the likelihood of filibuster reform and, of course, whether or not hot dogs can be considered sandwiches. Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew covers both the results of the Ohio Senate primary and the leaked draft opinion from the Supreme Court that would overturn Roe v. Wade. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. The recall effort ultimately failed by a sizable margin. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Nate and Galen discuss the latest twists in the midterms and answer listener questions in this installment of "Model Talk." They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. They also analyze a new poll from YouGov that breaks down why 78 percent of Americans say they have changed their mind on one or more political issue over the course of their lives. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. This is the first episode. Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. david senak now. They also debate the meaning of a recent poll from Axios that suggests Americans are exhausted. You can't imitate a worldview. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Then, Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio joins the pod to break down a new poll that asked Latino Americans which party they are favoring in the midterm elections. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. police- settlements. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. heritage commons university of utah. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 3 min read. They also debate how reliable exit polls are in determining what motivates voters and consider how Democrats were able to overcome intra-party disagreements to pass a $1 trillion infrastructure bill. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. January 23, 2023 Examined What comes next after Texas school shooting? The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. 71 Episodes Share Follow Seasons About 38 minutes | Feb 16, 2023 The Hero Who Rode His Segway Off a Cliff Steve Jobs called It "the most amazing piece of technology since the PC." According to Jeff Bezos It was not only "revolutionary," but infinitely commercial. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. They also break down the governor's race in New Jersey and other elections around the country. Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. In this installment, Robert Crews, a History professor from Stanford University, joins to reflect on the history of the Taliban and the current political landscape in Afghanistan. So, the usual. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. In the main event, former light The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . Thanks! Transcript for What if America had a lot more political parties? Accuracy is not guaranteed. New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. Above, storm clouds over downtown Laramie, Wyo., on Aug. 13, 2022. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). MANAGER'S SALARY. - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. About 32 million Americans get summoned for jury duty each year. The crew breaks down notable primary races in Minnesota, Vermont and Wisconsin. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. 30, 2021 How The CDC's Blindspots Complicated The Fight Against COVID-19 By Maggie Koerth and Sinduja Srinivasan Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. They also address concerns that the 2020 Census resulted in an undercount of Latinos. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. send a tweet. They also analyze the court's other recent rulings on gun restrictions and school prayer and preview some of Tuesday's biggest primary elections. This installment of the podcast explores the role that the Black church plays in American politics, through initiatives like "souls to the polls" and beyond. This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government,American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. All rights reserved. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. He rejected the presidents requests and has consistently spoken out against conspiracy theories surrounding the election. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. What does it take to make democracy work? It was a night of firsts, with the first primaries of 2022 taking place in Texas and President Bidens first real State of the Union speech. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. They determine whether we live in a free or repres The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Feb. 28GLASTONBURY When Jonathan K. Luiz starts work as town manager March 31, he will be making $190,000 per year. 11:03 AM. It's easy. Its generally considered to be one of the most comprehensive pictures of trends within the electorate. The crew tries to unpack whats driving Democrats legislative decisions and who will have to compromise to pass the party's agenda. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. They also discuss moderate Senate Democrats' push to amend some of the provisions in the American Rescue plan and look at the politics and science behind the push to loosen covid-19 restrictions in states. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. The podcast crew discusses what Rep. Liz Cheney might do next with her message and what an independent bid for president might entail. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. ( Businessweek) Transcripts by Erin Wade. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". 00:14:18 - Federal health agencies asked states to pause in their use of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine while U.S. officials investigate reports of an extre
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